SPS 2000
is a study project started by the
SPS
Working Group in Japan to demonstrate energy delivery from space to Earth soon; to put it on the table as a real option for development into a major new source of electric power for Earth. The electricity industry consider
SPS
as just a "paper idea", and it also suffers from the "space industry problem" that launch costs are still unbelievably high, and so most outsiders don't understand that it's possible for them to be much, much lower.
An
SPS 2000
satellite in equatorial orbit
SPS
is of course an energy project, an electricity project - not a "space project". And fundamentally there are lots of funds for energy research. For example, in Japan nuclear energy research receives several $billion per year. The "Monju" fast-breeder reactor which recently suffered an extremely expensive accident has already cost many tens of $billions - and the budgeted cost of the plutonium re-processing plant to supply it has recently doubled to $15 billion, although the capacity has been cut in half. In addition, the electricity companies of Japan alone invest several $10s of billions per year in electricity generation and transmission equipment.
A credible alternative
Why do governments do this nuclear research, even though it's extremely expensive - and unpopular? Because they see no alternative. They foresee fossil fuels running out in a few decades, and no other potentially large-scale sources of electricity.
So why don't they do similar research on
SPS
? Because
SPS
doesn't have enough credibility - because no one will say what an
SPS
is, other than a kind of dream for 50 years from now. And when they say "Well, if you can't tell us what an
SPS
is, can you tell us what you want to do to research it?" people describe experiments of a few KW using satellites costing $hundreds of millions - so the energy people understandably lose interest. Such small-scale, expensive experiments have nothing to do with electricity supply.
However, if there was a realistic plan to build and test an
SPS
, which would deliver useful solar-generated electricity from space to Earth, within a reasonable budget and a reasonable time-scale, there must be a good chance that it would be funded. But there is no such plan. In nearly 30 years the "
SPS
community" has never produced such a plan! There are visions of enormous systems far in the future, and plans for little bits of research here and there, but nothing in between. (Please remember: a vague proposal isn't a plan. In order for a project to be implemented it's necessary to produce a detailed engineering plan.)
Seeing is believing
The "SPS 2000
" system is being designed to fill this gap. A number of details of this project are still open to dicussion and may be changed, but the basic idea seems to be unarguable. If we want to build an
SPS
we have to do something like this:
- We need to deliver at least Megawatts of power from space to Earth. 10 Megawatts
would be fine; even a few MW will be okay. But kilowatts, or even hundreds of
kW, are too little to be of serious interest to electricity organisations that handle
tens of thousands of Megawatts. In addition the power has to come to Earth because here
on Earth is where taxpayers live, and where the demand for power is.
- We also have to design it now, so we have to use what exists. We can't plan to
use technology that may be developed sometime in the future.
- It also has to be in low Earth orbit, in order to be low-cost. Remember, if it was
in
GEO
(that is, 35,800 kilometers from Earth) then the transmitting antenna would have
to be 40 times larger than a
LEO
one - or else the receiving antenna would have to be
40 times larger. Consequently the satellite has to orbit above the equator in order to
have frequent transmission opportunities. And so it has to be done in partnership with
the equatorial countries.
- Now, of course such a system is a compromise. Above all, the power delivery is only
intermittent, so we need storage at the rectennas, which will add to the cost, and the
continuous output for users will be only hundreds of KW. But this is unavoidable for a
LEO
demonstration system. And fortunately both the power beam itself and the rectennas will still
be multi-megawatt scale, so they'll be large enough to be interesting for electricity
engineers. And of course the rectennas will be available for reception of power from any
number of satellites - not just the SPS 2000
satellite.
- Another requirement is that the power has got to be used, in order for
SPS
to be able
to be assessed as a real electricity system. As it happens, there are many people living
near the equator with no electricity. Living in cities it's easy not to realise that 100 KW
is enough for 1000 homes, and will be very significant for people with no electricity power.
So far, each of the five equatorial countries visited is keen to participate in
SPS
and
provide a site for a
rectenna
. So although low
Earth orbit may not be ideal, if we accept the fact that it's inevitable, we can enjoy the
fact that the project will be helpful and popular with developing countries round the equator.
Aren't rich countries always making speeches about the need to help poorer countries? Well,
here's a good chance to work together on a path-breaking new technological development.
- The project also has to be within a "reasonable" budget. Well, that certainly means it
can't cost $50 billion, like the international space station! Of course, ideally it should
cost the same as other energy plants on Earth. But for a "pilot plant" it's okay if it costs
rather more - but not 10 times more! Currently the target is that the SPS 2000
satellite
should cost about the same as a solar energy plant or a dam on Earth - about $100 million for
about 10 MW. In fact it currently looks as though it will probably cost 3 times more, which
should be acceptable. Trying to get the cost down like this drives the design - for example
getting rid of a rotating joint between the solar array and the transmitting antenna, and
doing without active attitude-control. If the cost isn't brought down like this, it can be
concluded that the space industry will never be able to deliver cheap electricity to
Earth, and the electricity industry will continue to ignore
SPS
.
That leaves the launch costs. Unfortunately most existing launch vehicles are out of the
question, as they're far too expensive. But using the cheapest rockets, such as the Russian
Proton, from Brazil's equatorial launch site, the whole project could probably cost less than
$1 billion. Better still, if one of the reusable launch vehicles now being planned in
various countries is developed, we could use some of their test-flights. Then we'd really be
in business! Designing for launch by expendable rockets and for automatic assembly is also a
compromise that will not apply to future commercial
SPS
. But it may be unavoidable if
SPS
is
to be demonstrated in the near future.
- A pilot plant should also be designed to be extended progressively. Basically speaking, once there's a system of rectennas around the equator, which are used only about 3% of the time by the initial satellite, their operators will be keen to receive power from other satellites as well - and they'll be prepared to pay for deliveries of power. This will create a real terrestrial market for microwave power from space - the first. And creating a market opens the doors to progressive development of larger and better power-satellites.
Starting the design debate
Commercial satellite-makers planning satellites for delivering power to the same system of equatorial rectennas will need to use the same frequency of 2.45 GHz, and to meet agreed specifications for the rectennas. Apart from these constraints on the microwave power beam, satellite designers will have considerable freedom. We're still far from knowing the best configuration for
SPS
, and the more experience is developed with different satellite designs the better. It's a nice picture to imagine solar power satellites of several different shapes and sizes delivering power to the rectennas in sequence from different orbits. And it would make for good competition between them!
If SPS 2000
can start things moving, in view of current commercial plans for constellations of communication satellites, we can envisage constellations of satellites being designed to deliver power to the SPS 2000
rectennas. It might even turn out that, with the development of low-cost reusable launchers, power satellites will grow progressively larger, rectennas will get built in more and more countries, and it will lead on to fully commercial systems. But in order for this scenario to happen, we have to start. Henry Ford didn't wait to invent the V-8 engine before he started making cars. And if he and other manufacturers had waited, then the car industry would never have started.
It's also important that the
rectenna
operators in the equatorial countries will have a major role to play at the start in determining the specifications for acceptable microwave power supplies, and in giving commercial contracts to microwave energy suppliers. "The customer is right" is the basis of business, and so once there are customers for power from space the situation will be radically different from today.
From the point of view of public support, energy, and particularly environmentally clean energy, is a subject of great popular concern in many countries, and so is capable of receiving large-scale funding. Consequently it should be possible to raise a budget for an
SPS
demonstration project - if there's a good, credible plan, supported by researchers around the world. But in order to produce such a plan, more work is still required.
Don't knock it till you've tried it
Of course some people say that a 10 MW demonstration
SPS
is too difficult. To which the best reply is the saying "You don't know what you can do until you try". Until we do something like this, it's difficult to imagine how the energy industry will ever get interested in
SPS
. But if we succeed, it's difficult to imagine that they will not be interested. And once they're interested they have plenty of money to develop
SPS
on a larger commercial scale.
The above isn't intended as a criticism of other approaches - working with utilities on ground-based
WPT
, fundamental antenna design, sounding-rocket experiments, environmental research, extra-terrestrial resource utilization, and many others. But the best way to put
SPS
on the electricity industry's agenda has to be to design and then build a substantial demonstration
SPS
.
SPS
has to earn credibility with the electricity industry, and it has to do that by doing what interests the electricity industry - generating electricity on Earth at prices that are within striking distance of terrestrial systems.